There is a significant threat for severe weather, including the possibility of strong tornadoes, across the area today.
Damaging winds, large hail, and locally heavy rainfall are also possible. The threat for severe weather will persist through the overnight hours and should completely end by sunrise Monday morning.
The potential for supercell thunderstorms will develop by late this morning, primarily in the Moderate Risk area, as a surface low and upper trough approach the region. As the event evolves, storms are forecast to develop into more of an organized convective complex late in the afternoon through the evening and overnight hours.
Tornadoes, large hail and damaging winds will all be possible initially across mainly East Texas and North Louisiana from midday through tonight before transitioning into more of a damaging wind threat east of the Sabine River from tonight through sunrise Monday morning through the evening. Heavy rainfall will also be possible with totals generally averaging between 1 to 3 inches. The highest amounts are expected primarily south of Interstate 20. Very heavy rainfall rates could lead to locally higher amounts above 4 inches, which may lead to flash flooding.